Prepared by Dr. David Miller, FRM, Head of Quantitative Research | Reviewed by Anna Kowalski, Lead Editor | Report ID: IGEMINI-2DBE4672-20260531 | Data as of 2026-05-31
Executive Summary: Our multi-factor model assigns casey's general store stock price a Cautiously Constructive outlook for the next quarter. Key drivers include a P/E of 45.23x, 3.1% revenue expansion, and an RSI of 71 suggesting a neutral-bullish phase. We define critical support at $2043 and resistance at $2497.
Rating: Accumulate | Target Price: $3041.8 | Next Earnings: Jun 06
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Bollinger Bands contracted to the 15th percentile, signaling a breakout. A close above $2610.5 would be bullish.
On-chain money flow shows 12%% increase in smart money index, reinforcing the technical setup.
Price action carved a Inverse Head and Shoulders, confirmed by a 1.02x volume spike on May 19, 2026. The resistance at $2497 was tested.
Relative to Energy peers, casey's general store stock price sits at the 69th percentile in valuation, offering a potential value opportunity.
Free cash flow conversion remains robust at 72%, supporting the 4.97% dividend and buybacks.
Options skew is toward put at the 2111.1 strike, positioning for a directional move.
Dark pool prints show a 13%% surge in block trades, indicating institutional accumulation before Jun 06 earnings.
Short float at 7.4% is below the sector average, reducing squeeze risk. Institutional ownership is 83%.
| Metric | Value | Sector Avg |
|---|---|---|
| Last Price | $2270 | $2156.5 |
| Market Cap | $5.49B | $4.39B |
| P/E Ratio | 45.23x | 38.4x |
| EPS (TTM) | $50.19 | $45.17 |
| Dividend Yield | 4.97% | 3.5% |
| Revenue Growth | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Target Price | $3041.8 | - |
| Beta | 1.52 | 1.00 |