Prepared by Dr. Marcus Thorne, CFA, Senior Equity Strategist | Reviewed by Yuki Tanaka, Lead Editor | Report ID: IGEMINI-4374F09E-20260531 | Data as of 2026-05-31
Executive Summary: Our multi-factor model assigns carnival cruise stocks a Bullish outlook for the next quarter. Key drivers include a P/E of 39.26x, 1.3% revenue expansion, and an RSI of 42 suggesting a neutral-bullish phase. We define critical support at $15651 and resistance at $19129.
Rating: Outperform | Target Price: $23998.2 | Next Earnings: Jun 14
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Price action carved a Double Bottom, confirmed by a 1.43x volume spike on May 05, 2026. The resistance at $15651 was tested.
Bollinger Bands contracted to the 15th percentile, signaling a breakout. A close above $19998.5 would be bullish.
Free cash flow conversion remains robust at 78%, supporting the 0.7% dividend and buybacks.
EPS of $442.94 reveals above-sector earnings quality. DuPont analysis highlights margin expansion as the key ROE driver.
Relative to Healthcare peers, carnival cruise stocks sits at the 57th percentile in valuation, offering a potential value opportunity.
Dark pool prints show a 26%% surge in block trades, indicating institutional accumulation before Jun 14 earnings.
Short float at 7% is below the sector average, reducing squeeze risk. Institutional ownership is 64%.
Options skew is toward call at the 17216.1 strike, positioning for a directional move.
| Metric | Value | Sector Avg |
|---|---|---|
| Last Price | $17390 | $16520.5 |
| Market Cap | $2.13B | $2.34B |
| P/E Ratio | 39.26x | 33.4x |
| EPS (TTM) | $442.94 | $398.65 |
| Dividend Yield | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Revenue Growth | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Target Price | $23998.2 | - |
| Beta | 1.06 | 1.00 |