CARLYLE ALPINVEST PRIVATE MARKETS FUND Strategic Portfolio Allocation: Risk Budgeting & Alpha Capture

Prepared by Dr. Priya Sharma, CFA, Senior Equity Strategist | Reviewed by Michael Brown, Lead Editor | Report ID: IGEMINI-34505EFF-20260531 | Data as of 2026-05-31

Executive Summary: Our multi-factor model assigns carlyle alpinvest private markets fund a Bullish outlook for the next quarter. Key drivers include a P/E of 78.75x, 30.4% revenue expansion, and an RSI of 45 suggesting a neutral-bullish phase. We define critical support at $1318.5 and resistance at $1611.5.

Rating: Outperform | Target Price: $1933.8 | Next Earnings: Jul 08

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Technical Assessment

Bollinger Bands contracted to the 15th percentile, signaling a breakout. A close above $1684.75 would be bullish.

Price action carved a Bull Flag, confirmed by a 1.33x volume spike on May 11, 2026. The support at $1318.5 was tested.

Ichimoku Cloud flipped bullish with the lagging span breaking above, confirming trend shift.

Fundamental Assessment

Relative to Finance peers, carlyle alpinvest private markets fund sits at the 86th percentile in valuation, offering a potential value opportunity.

Free cash flow conversion remains robust at 66%, supporting the 2.78% dividend and buybacks.

Sentiment & Flow Assessment

Beta of 1.37 suggests carlyle alpinvest private markets fund is {beta_desc} volatile than the market, influencing hedging strategies.

Short float at 11.1% is below the sector average, reducing squeeze risk. Institutional ownership is 60%.

Dark pool prints show a 25%% surge in block trades, indicating institutional accumulation before Jul 08 earnings.

Data Snapshot

MetricValueSector Avg
Last Price$1465$1391.75
Market Cap$17.61B$14.09B
P/E Ratio78.75x66.9x
EPS (TTM)$18.6$16.74
Dividend Yield2.78%1.9%
Revenue Growth30.4%18.2%
Target Price$1933.8-
Beta1.371.00

Conclusion & Rating

Based on converging technical and fundamental signals, we rate carlyle alpinvest private markets fund as **Outperform** with a 12-month target of $1933.8. A stop-loss at $1347.8 is advised. The next earnings report on Jul 08 could serve as a catalyst.

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